Summary, the top bullish patterns at a glance
- Ascending triangle, flat resistance, rising lows. Continuation in an uptrend.
- Double bottom, twin lows with a peak between. Reversal at the end of a downtrend.
- Cup and handle, rounded base, small pullback, breakout. Continuation pattern.
- Falling wedge, converging lines tilting down. Reversal in a downtrend.
- Bull flag, sharp rally, tight pullback, breakout. Continuation pattern.
- Inverse head and shoulders, three troughs, the middle deepest. Reversal at a downtrend bottom.
- Three white soldiers, three consecutive long bullish candles. Reversal signal.
All seven work on the major AUD pairs and most clearly on the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes. For the broader context, see the chart patterns pillar.
The seven bullish patterns in detail
Ascending triangle
Anatomy. Price prints a flat line of resistance across multiple touches at the top while making higher lows underneath. The two lines converge on the right edge of the pattern. Buyers are bidding aggressively, sellers are defending one specific level, and the contest resolves with a breakout above resistance.
Signal. Long entry on the close of a candle above the flat resistance line. Some traders wait for a retest of the broken resistance before entering. The retest entry has a better risk-to-reward but skips the fastest moves.
Target measurement. Measure the height of the triangle (the distance from the first higher low to the resistance line) and project that distance up from the breakout point. On AUD/USD, a 60-pip triangle gives a 60-pip target.
Common mistakes. Trading the pattern against the higher-timeframe trend. Ascending triangles are continuation patterns, so they work best when the daily or weekly chart is already pointing up. Counter-trend ascending triangles fail more often.
Double bottom
Anatomy. Price falls to a low, bounces, falls back to roughly the same low, and bounces again. The two lows form a “W” shape with a peak between them (the neckline). Volume usually drops on the second low, signalling exhausted selling.
Signal. Long entry on a close above the neckline. The neckline is the high point between the two lows. Trading the second touch of the bottom (before neckline confirmation) is aggressive and prone to fakeouts.
Target measurement. Measure from the lowest low to the neckline and project that distance up from the neckline break. A 100-pip W on EUR/USD gives a 100-pip target above the neckline.
Common mistakes. Confusing a double bottom with a basing range. A real double bottom has a clear bounce between the two lows. Sideways chop is not the same pattern.
Cup and handle
Anatomy. Price prints a rounded U-shape (the cup), recovers to the prior high, then dips slightly into a tight pullback (the handle). The handle is shallow, usually retracing 30 to 50% of the cup’s right side. The pattern resolves with a breakout above the cup’s rim.
Signal. Long entry on the close above the rim (the level of the cup’s two highs). Breakouts that come on rising volume have a markedly higher follow-through rate.
Target measurement. Measure the depth of the cup and project that distance up from the rim breakout. A 200-pip cup projects a 200-pip target.
Common mistakes. Calling shallow pullbacks “handles” too quickly. A real handle takes time to form (often days on a 4-hour chart) and stays well above the bottom of the cup. Anything that retraces more than half the cup is not a handle.
Falling wedge
Anatomy. Price prints a series of lower highs and lower lows, but the highs are falling faster than the lows. The two trendlines converge downward. Volume usually fades through the wedge as selling pressure exhausts.
Signal. Long entry on a close above the upper trendline. The breakout is often sharp because the wedge represents a compression that releases when broken.
Target measurement. Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point and project that distance up from the breakout. Many traders also use the prior swing high as a secondary target.
Common mistakes. Trading falling wedges that haven’t fully formed. A wedge needs at least two clean touches on each side before it’s tradeable. Three or more touches per side is stronger.
Bull flag
Anatomy. Price rallies sharply (the flagpole), then pulls back in a tight, slightly downward-sloping channel (the flag). The pullback is shallow, usually retracing less than 50% of the flagpole. The pattern resolves with a continuation higher.
Signal. Long entry on a close above the upper trendline of the flag. Aggressive traders enter on the first higher low inside the flag.
Target measurement. Measure the length of the flagpole and project it up from the breakout. Flag patterns produce some of the cleanest targets in pattern trading because the geometry is simple.
Common mistakes. Trading flags that lasted too long. A real bull flag forms over a small fraction of the time the flagpole took. If the pullback drags on for longer than the rally, you’ve got a different pattern.
Inverse head and shoulders
Anatomy. Three troughs at a downtrend bottom. The middle trough (the head) is the lowest. The two outer troughs (the shoulders) are at similar but not identical depths. A neckline runs across the two peaks between the troughs.
Signal. Long entry on a close above the neckline. Volume confirmation on the breakout improves the strike rate. The pattern is one of the most reliable reversal setups in classical technical analysis.
Target measurement. Measure from the head’s low to the neckline and project that distance up from the breakout point. A 150-pip head depth gives a 150-pip target.
Common mistakes. Forcing asymmetric “shoulders” that aren’t really shoulders. The two outer troughs should be visibly similar in depth and timing. Wildly uneven shoulders weaken the pattern.
Three white soldiers
Anatomy. Three consecutive long bullish candles, each closing higher than the prior, each opening within the prior candle’s body. The pattern signals a rapid shift in sentiment, usually after a downtrend or consolidation.
Signal. Long entry on the close of the third candle, or on a small pullback to the close of candle two. Three white soldiers is a candlestick pattern rather than a chart pattern in the geometric sense, but it carries similar weight when it appears at a meaningful structural level.
Target measurement. Less precise than geometric patterns. Use the prior swing high or a measured-move equal to the height of the three candles combined.
Common mistakes. Trading three white soldiers that follow an exhausted move higher. The pattern works as a reversal at a low. After an extended rally, three more bullish candles often signal exhaustion rather than continuation.
How to confirm a bullish pattern
A clean shape isn’t enough on its own. Three confirmation tools sharpen the signal.
Volume. Bullish breakouts on rising volume have a much higher follow-through rate than breakouts on quiet volume. Forex doesn’t have centralised exchange volume, but tick volume from your broker’s MT4, MT5 or cTrader feed is a usable proxy. Pepperstone, IC Markets and FP Markets all expose tick volume natively.
RSI. A bullish pattern that prints with the 14-period RSI rising out of oversold territory (below 30) has a stronger directional case than one that prints with RSI already overbought. RSI divergence (price making a lower low while RSI makes a higher low) is a classic confirmation for double bottoms and inverse head and shoulders.
MACD divergence. Similar logic. A bullish pattern at a downtrend bottom that prints with MACD histogram bars getting smaller (bullish divergence against price) carries more weight. The MACD signal-line cross above the zero line near the breakout adds another confirmation layer.
You don’t need all three. One or two confirming signals beyond the pattern itself is usually enough. Stack too many filters and you’ll never take a trade.
Risk management for bullish patterns
Stop placement
The stop on every bullish pattern goes below the pattern’s lowest point.
- Ascending triangle / bull flag, below the lowest higher low inside the pattern.
- Double bottom, below the lowest of the two bottoms, with a few pips of buffer for spread and noise.
- Cup and handle, below the low of the handle.
- Falling wedge, below the lower trendline of the wedge.
- Inverse head and shoulders, below the head’s low.
Never place a stop based purely on a fixed pip distance that ignores the pattern. The pattern defines invalidation. If the pattern’s structure is broken, the trade thesis is broken, and the stop should reflect that.
Position sizing under the 30:1 cap
Australian retail traders are capped at 30:1 leverage on major forex pairs under ASIC’s Product Intervention Order (in force since 29 March 2021, made permanent). On AUD/USD, that means each AUD 1 of margin controls AUD 30 of position. Under the same rules, AFCA membership is mandatory for ASIC brokers, giving you a free dispute-resolution path if anything goes wrong.
A worked example: AUD 5,000 account, 1% risk per trade (AUD 50), bullish pattern on AUD/USD with a 50-pip stop below the pattern low.
- Risk per trade: AUD 50
- Stop distance: 50 pips
- Position size: AUD 50 / 50 pips = AUD 1 per pip = 0.1 standard lot (10,000 units)
- Margin required at 30:1: AUD 333 (well within account)
- Reward target at 2:1 RR: 100 pips = AUD 100 if the pattern resolves to target
Sizing this way keeps any single failed pattern at 1% of account. You can survive a long string of losses without account damage. You can also size up cleanly when patterns line up with higher-timeframe trend.
ASIC also mandates negative balance protection and margin close-out at 50% of initial margin. You can’t lose more than your deposit on a runaway move, but you don’t want to test that. Risk management starts with the stop, not the safety net.
FAQs
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About the author
Justin co-founded CompareForexBrokers in 2014 and has traded forex since 1998. Based in Melbourne, he has tested every ASIC-regulated broker on this site personally and has written for Forbes, Kiplinger, Finance Magnates, the Australian Financial Review and The Age. He holds a Bachelor of Commerce (Honours) and a Master's in Marketing from Monash University. Justin is the Strategic Head of Research for the site.